
Brad Holt might be the Mets' best prospect.
BY AARON YORKE
STACHE WRITER
As the Mets fight to stay above .500, yet easily stay in the playoff mix, we wonder how far this team could go with another real bat in the lineup. Whether it be Aubrey Huff or someone else, the Mets will have to decide if bringing in reinforcements is worth giving up prospects. Here’s the rundown of the most likely to be traded players (in no particular order)…
Jon Niese – LHP
Jon Niese was the guy who was supposed to be filling in when John Maine and Oliver Perez went on the DL. Instead, early season AAA troubles caused the Mets to rely on Tim Redding and Fernando Nieve instead. Niese did make two major league starts earlier in the year: a good one vs. Pittsburgh (6 IP, 2 ER) and a not so good one vs. Chipper and friends (4+ IP, 5 ER). The good news is that his play in AAA has improved lately. His last four starts for the Bison have been outstanding with 25 Ks to 7 walks and 3 earned runs in 26 innings. Overall, Jon’s K:BB in Buffalo is 3:1. He’s begging for another shot at the bigs.
Trade him?: It’s probably not worth it to trade Niese since his upside as already been pegged as a middle of the rotation guy, as opposed to Holt or Mejia, who have higher ceilings. Since the Mets already have their ace locked up long term, Niese will be more valuable to New York than to rebuilding teams. The fact that he hasn’t been called up yet says to me that the Mets are satisfied with Redding and Nieve, but they don’t want to confuse Jon with a role in the bullpen.
Wilmer Flores – SS
It’s debatable whether Wilmer Flores or Fernando Martinez is the Mets’ #1 prospect. While Fernando struggles to find his swing against big league pitching, Wilmer has struggled to find power versus A-ball pitching. He’s batting .281/.319/.364 in 242 ABs with Savannah this year. The kicker is that he was born in 1991 and he killed in rookie ball last year as a 17-year-old with a .842 OPS. Right now, he plays shortstop, but Miguel Cabrera comparisons suggest that could be changing sooner or later.
Trade him?: Flores’ long development time will make a trade seem less costly now, but his apparently limitless ceiling makes one hesitant. You can bet opposing GMs will be weighing the same qualities when putting together an offer.
Jenrry Mejia – RHP
The 20-year-old Dominican was signed in 2007 and was pretty good in Brooklyn (low-A ball) last season with a 3.49 ERA, 52Ks, and 23 BBs in 56 innings. He started 2009 in high-A at St. Lucie and tore up the league with a 1.97 ERA in nine starts. A promotion to AA has proved worthwhile so far as the young Mejia has backed a modest 3.74 ERA with 24 Ks and just 9 walks in 21+ innings over four starts. If stats don’t get you excited, maybe a mid-90s fastball will. Mejia is also said to be developing a “hard curve.”
Trade him?: If Mejia continues to succeed at AA he will certainly be sought after. The fact that him and Holt are both righties with similar pitches makes it tempting to move one of them, but you can never have too much pitching.
Brad Holt – RHP
After Holt was drafted last June as a supplemental first round pick, his career has mostly followed Mejia’s. After dominating in Brooklyn last season, Holt took St. Lucie by storm in 2009 with 54 Ks and 13 walks in just 43 innings before his promotion to AA Binghamton. After a nice first start there versus Connecticut in which Holt went 6+ innings while allowing just a pair of earned runs, he got crushed vs. Akron letting in 5 runs while recording just one out. If his prior performance is any indicator, Holt’s premier AA starts will be the norm. Just like Mejia, Holt is sports a mid 90’s heater and is working on improving his curveball.
Trade him?: Just like Mejia, if Holt can pitch well in AA he will be valuable. The fact that he’s two years older than Mejia makes him less valuable to a rebuilding team. If one of the two gets dealt, my money is on Jenrry.
Fernando Martinez – OF
Even though he’s in the majors, Fernando is still only 20 years old and still a prospect.
All we’ve seen so far is a talented defensive outfielder who’s overmatched at the plate at this young stage of his career. Had the Mets managed to avoid injuries to Beltran and/or Pagan, Martinez would probably be in Buffalo right now. His struggles on the big stage do not diminish the promise he has shown throughout his career.
Trade him?: It’s a tough call. Look at the corner outfielders the Mets have been sending out there lately. They don’t have a long term answer at either spot. Unless the Mets are blown away by an offer, I’d hold onto him.
Reese Havens – SS
Havens is a middle infield prospect from the University of South Carolina taken in the first round of the 2008 draft. In just 85 at bats with low-A Brooklyn last year, he batted .247/.340/.471 with 3 home runs and 11 RBIs. This year in St. Lucie he’s at .225/.338/.414 with 8 homers and 28 RBIs in 191 at bats. While his numbers don’t look that impressive, Havens figures to play second base should he advance to the major leagues; a position that does not demand a whole lot of offense. Havens’ greatest asset at the plate is his patience. He’s already drawn 30 walks this year, which is not easy considering his lack of power. Hopefully Havens will be able to fill Luis Castillo’s shoes by the time his contract runs out in 2011.
Trade him?: Havens hasn’t really blown anyone away with his performance thus far. He would likely be the “other” guy in a deal surrounding a more valuable prospect.
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